publication . Preprint . Article . 2021

An epidemic model for COVID-19 transmission in Argentina: Exploration of the alternating quarantine and massive testing strategies

Lautaro Vassallo; Ignacio A. Perez; Lucila G. Alvarez-Zuzek; Julián Amaya; Marcos F. Torres; Lucas D. Valdez; Cristian E. La Rocca; Lidia A. Braunstein;
Open Access English
  • Published: 01 Jul 2021
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has challenged authorities at different levels of government administration around the globe. When faced with diseases of this severity, it is useful for the authorities to have prediction tools to estimate in advance the impact on the health system as well as the human, material, and economic resources that will be necessary. In this paper, we construct an extended Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered model that incorporates the social structure of Mar del Plata, the 4°most inhabited city in Argentina and head of the Municipality of General Pueyrredón. Moreover, we consider detailed partitions of infected individuals according to the ill...
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Subjects
free text keywords: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Physics - Physics and Society, Applied Mathematics, General Agricultural and Biological Sciences, General Immunology and Microbiology, General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Modelling and Simulation, General Medicine, Statistics and Probability, Original Research Article, Mathematical epidemiology, Compartmental models, COVID-19 in Mar del Plata, Data analysis
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