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An Evaluation of Financial Feasibility of an All-inclusive Hotel Investment in Small Island Developing States: The Case of Trinidad and Tobago

Authors: Esmaili, Reyhaneh;

An Evaluation of Financial Feasibility of an All-inclusive Hotel Investment in Small Island Developing States: The Case of Trinidad and Tobago

Abstract

The current study presents a financial model to demonstrate all-inclusive hotel investment appraisal and sensitivity analysis. This thesis intends to study on a hotel investment in the Small Island Development States, Trinidad & Tobago. The financial viability of all-inclusive hotel is investigated by Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) and Sensitivity Analysis has been done to address risky variables in this case study. Consequently, based on calculated Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) -as most trustable evaluation criterion- the result established to assist investors and bankers to be well informed about the expected returns on equity with possible risk. Admittedly, the unprecedented situation caused by COVID-19 pandemic, leads this thesis to reassess the investment through two other scenarios, aiming to revise the analysis according to the latest projections of the tourism industry future while considering the new norm due to COVID-19 pandemic. Accordingly, with consideration of COVID-19 pandemic, the results reveal that the viability of the project is best attainable by scenario two. If the project deferred by two years it would become profitable and sustainable investment according to the positive study outcomes. Result of sensitivity analysis also identifies that the occupancy rate and price per night are variables with the highest effect on projects outcomes and hence should be closely monitored. Keywords: Hotel Investment, Feasibility Study, Financial Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis, Hotel Risk Factor, COVID-19 ÖZ: Mevcut çalışma, her şey dahil otel yatırım değerlendirmesi ve duyarlılık analizini göstermek için bir finansal model sunmaktadır. Bu tez, Küçük Ada Geliştirme Eyaletleri, Trinidad ve Tobago'da bir otel yatırımı üzerinde çalışmayı amaçlamaktadır. Her şey dahil otelin finansal uygulanabilirliği Maliyet Fayda Analizi (CBA) ile araştırılmış ve bu vaka çalışmasında riskli değişkenleri ele almak için Duyarlılık Analizi yapılmıştır. Sonuç olarak, hesaplanan Net Bugünkü Değer (NPV) ve İç Getiri Oranı (IRR)- en güvenilir değerlendirme kriteri olarak- temel alınarak, sonuç yatırımcıların ve bankacıların hisse senetlerinden beklenen getirilerin ve potansiyel risklerinin farkında olmalarına yardımcı olmak için tasarlanmıştır. Kuşkusuz, COVID- 19 salgınının neden olduğu benzeri görülmemiş durum, bu tezi, COVID-19 salgını nedeniyle yeni normu göz önünde bulundurarak, turizm endüstrisinin geleceğinin en son projeksiyonlarına göre analizi yenilemeyi amaçlayan iki başka senaryo üzerinden yatırımı yeniden değerlendirmeye yönlendiriyor. Buna göre, COVID-19 salgını göz önüne alındığında, sonuçlar projenin uygulanabilirliğinin en iyi senaryo iki ile elde edilebileceğini ortaya koyuyor. Proje iki yıl ertelenirse, olumlu çalışma sonuçlarına göre kârlı ve sürdürülebilir bir yatırım haline gelecektir. Duyarlılık analizi sonucunda ayrıca, konaklama oranı ve gecelik fiyat, proje sonuçları üzerinde en yüksek etkiye sahip değişkenler olduğunu ve dolayısıyla yakından izlenmesi gerektiğini de tanımlar. Anahtar Kelimeler: Otel Yatırımı, Fizibilite Çalışması, Finansal Analiz, Duyarlılık Analizi, Otel Risk Faktörü, COVID-19 Master of Science in Tourism Management. Institute of Graduate Studies and Research. Thesis (M.S.) - Eastern Mediterranean University, Faculty of Tourism, 2020. Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Glen Paul Jenkins.

Keywords

All-inclusive Hotels, Financial Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis, Hotel Risk Factor, Hospitality industry--Trinidad and Tobago, COVID-19, Feasibility Study, Hotel Investment, Tourism--Trinidad and Tobago, Tourism

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    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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