publication . Article . Preprint . 2020

Anticipating the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Pandemic

Taranjot Kaur; Sukanta Sarkar; Sourangsu Chowdhury; Sudipta Kumar Sinha; Mohit Kumar Jolly; Partha Sharathi Dutta;
Open Access English
  • Published: 03 Sep 2020 Journal: Frontiers in Public Health, volume 8 (issn: 2296-2565, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: Frontiers Media S.A.
The infectious novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 outbreak has been declared as a public health emergency of international concern, and later as an epidemic. To date, this outbreak has infected more than one million people and killed over fifty thousand people across the world. In most countries, the COVID-19 incidence curve rises sharply in a short span of time, suggesting a transition from a disease free (or low-burden disease) equilibrium state to a sustained infected (or high-burden disease) state. Such a transition from one stable state to another state in a relatively short span of time is often termed as a critical transition. Critical transitions can be,...
free text keywords: COVID-19, critical transitions, indicators of critical slowing down, social distancing policies, non-pharmaceutical interventions, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, lcsh:Public aspects of medicine, lcsh:RA1-1270, Transmission (mechanics), law.invention, law, Demography, Rate of return, Pandemic, Population, education.field_of_study, education, Psychological intervention, Outbreak, Disease, Public health, medicine.medical_specialty, medicine, Geography, Empirical research, International health, business.industry, business, Social distance
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