publication . Article . 2012

Development of a resource modelling tool to support decision makers in pandemic influenza preparedness: The AsiaFluCap Simulator

Mart L. Stein; James W. Rudge; Richard Coker; Charlie P van der Weijden; Ralf Krumkamp; Piya Hanvoravongchai; Irwin Chavez; Weerasak Putthasri; Bounlay Phommasack; Wiku Adisasmito; ...
Open Access
  • Published: 12 Oct 2012 Journal: BMC Public Health, volume 12, issue 1 (eissn: 1471-2458, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
  • Country: United Kingdom
<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Health care planning for pandemic influenza is a challenging task which requires predictive models by which the impact of different response strategies can be evaluated. However, current preparedness plans and simulations exercises, as well as freely available simulation models previously made for policy makers, do not explicitly address the availability of health care resources or determine the impact of shortages on public health. Nevertheless, the feasibility of health systems to implement response measures or interventions described in plans and trained in exercises depends on the available resource capacity. As part of t...
Persistent Identifiers
free text keywords: Pandemic influenza, Preparedness, Pandemic exercises, Public health officials, Decision making, Health care resources, Influenza modelling, Simulator, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Software, lcsh:Public aspects of medicine, lcsh:RA1-1270, Pandemic, Simulation, Public health, medicine.medical_specialty, medicine, business.industry, business, Psychological intervention, Geographic information system, Health care, Evidence-based practice, Software, Preparedness
Funded by
Health system analysis to support capacity development to respond to pandemic influenza in Asia
  • Funder: European Commission (EC)
  • Project Code: 201823
  • Funding stream: FP7 | SP1 | HEALTH
58 references, page 1 of 4

1. Svoboda T, Henry B, Shulman L, Kennedy E, Rea E, Ng W, Wallington T, Yaffe B, Gournis E, Vicencio E, et al: Public health measures to control the spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome during the outbreak in Toronto. N Engl J Med 2004, 350(23):2352-2361.

2. UNSIC, World Bank: Animal and pandemic influenza: A framework for sustaining momentum, fifth global progress report. files/Global%20Progress%20Report%202010.pdf.

3. Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS: Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 2006, 442(7101):448-452. [OpenAIRE]

4. Dawood FS, Jain S, Finelli L, Shaw MW, Lindstrom S, Garten RJ, Gubareva LV, Xu X, Bridges CB, Uyeki TM: Emergence of a novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus in humans. N Engl J Med 2009, 360(25):2605-2615.

5. UNSIC: Simulation exercises on influenza pandemic responses in the Asia Pacific region. unsic_pandemic_complete.pdf.

6. Oshitani H, Kamigaki T, Suzuki A: Major issues and challenges of influenza pandemic preparedness in developing countries. Emerg Infect Dis 2008, 14(6):875-880.

7. Coker RJ, Hunter BM, Rudge JW, Liverani M, Hanvoravongchai P: Emerging infectious diseases in southeast Asia: regional challenges to control. Lancet 2011, 377(9765):599-609.

8. Yung M, Slater A, Festa M, Williams G, Erickson S, Pettila V, Alexander J, Howe BD, Shekerdemian LS: Pandemic H1N1 in children requiring intensive care in Australia and New Zealand during winter 2009. Pediatrics 2011, 127(1):e156-163.

9. Webb SA, Pettila V, Seppelt I, Bellomo R, Bailey M, Cooper DJ, Cretikos M, Davies AR, Finfer S, Harrigan PW, et al: Critical care services and 2009 H1N1 influenza in Australia and New Zealand. N Engl J Med 2009, 361(20):1925-1934.

10. Nicolay N, Callaghan MA, Domegan LM, Oza AN, Marsh BJ, Flanagan PC, Igoe DM, O'Donnell JM, O'Flanagan DM, O'Hora AP: Epidemiology, clinical characteristics and resource implications of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in intensive care units in Ireland. Crit Care Resusc 2010, 12(4):255-261.

11. WHO regional office for the Western Pacific: Exercise development guide for validating influenza pandemic preparedness plans. entity/emerging_diseases/documents/ EDTed_DRAFT1_Exercise_Development_Guide/en/index.html.

12. Hanvoravongchai P, Adisasmito W, Chau PN, Conseil A, de Sa J, Krumkamp R, Mounier-Jack S, Phommasack B, Putthasri W, Shih CS, et al: Pandemic influenza preparedness and health systems challenges in Asia: results from rapid analyses in 6 Asian countries. BMC Public Health 2010, 10:322.

13. Schuchat A, Bell BP, Redd SC: The science behind preparing and responding to pandemic influenza: the lessons and limits of science. Clin Infect Dis 2011, 52(Suppl 1):S8-12.

14. Smith DJ: Predictability and preparedness in influenza control. Science 2006, 312(5772):392-394.

15. Grenfell BT, Bjornstad ON, Kappey J: Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics. Nature 2001, 414(6865):716-723.

58 references, page 1 of 4
Any information missing or wrong?Report an Issue