Spread of Pathogens on Healthcare Institutions Networks: a modeling study
French National Research Agency (ANR)
Funder: French National Research Agency (ANR)Project code: ANR-17-CE36-0008
Funder Contribution: 572,127 EUR

Despite advances in modern biology and medicine, healthcare-associated infections (HAI) have been occurring with increased incidence and severity over the last decades, becoming a major public health issue. A wide range of control strategies is already available, including hygiene measures, barrier precautions, antimicrobial stewardship, vaccination, patient isolation, cohorting, etc., based on screening programmes and surveillance systems. However, faced with the continued spread of HAI, the implementation of these strategies needs to be optimized and new control strategies must be considered and evaluated. Mathematical modelling and computer simulations are powerful tools which can help public-health practitioners examine possible courses of dissemination of HAI and assess the efficacy of control strategies. The successful diffusion of a pathogen in a healthcare system results from a combination of processes operating at different scales. The way human populations are structured within and outside health-care institutions and the networks of patient transfers between wards and between institutions are layers that intrinsically interact with the biological layer of pathogen transmission and with the microbiological population dynamics layer of within-host pathogen selection. The processes operating at those different scales may have opposite effects on HAI dynamics which make HAI spread prediction and control strategies assessment difficult when considering only one scale. Yet, previously published modelling studies were typically limited to describing one of these scales, separately from the others. This separation challenges our ability to get a global understanding of HAI spread. In this context, the objective of the SPHINx project is to propose a global approach to better understand and control the spread of HAI integrating various scales (hospital wards, hospitals and healthcare facilities networks, community) by developing a multi-scale computational framework. First, we will build one model for each scale to understand how HAI can emerge, be selected and spread within and between healthcare facilities. Then, we will integrate these models in a multi-scale model to reproduce potential interferences between the different scales. The models will be informed using both published data and original data including data on patient transfers between healthcare facilities and the community at the French national level, as well as a detailed dataset on inter-individual contacts, microbial carriage status of patients and healthcare workers and antibiotic exposure in a single hospital over a 4-month period. Finally, we will use the developed multi-scale framework to assess and compare the potential impact of various control strategies on HAI spread and incidence, and assess their cost effectiveness from healthcare facility, payer and societal perspectives. By increasing our knowledge of the healthcare-associated infection dynamics at various scales, the outputs of this project should contribute to design efficient and cost-effective integrated infection control measures at an individual, local, regional and national level.

Data Management Plans