research product . Other ORP type . 2020

Monitoring trends and differences in COVID-19 case fatality rates using decomposition methods: Contributions of age structure and age-specific fatality

Dudel, Christian; Riffe, Tim; Acosta, Enrique; van Raalte, Alyson A.; Strozza, Cosmo; Myrskyla, Mikko;
Open Access English
  • Published: 02 Apr 2020
  • Publisher: medrxiv
  • Country: Denmark
The population-level case-fatality rate (CFR) associated with COVID-19 varies substantially, both across countries time and within countries over time. We analyze the contribution of two key determinants of the variation in the observed CFR: the age-structure of diagnosed infection cases and age-specific case-fatality rates. We use data on diagnosed COVID-19 cases and death counts attributable to COVID-19 by age for China, Germany, Italy, South Korea, Spain, the United States, and New York City. We calculate the CFR for each population at the latest data point and also for Italy over time. We use demographic decomposition to break the difference between CFRs int...
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