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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Franzolini, Beatrice; Beskos, Alexandros; De Iorio, Maria; Poklewski Koziell, Warrick; +1 Authors

    Reliable estimates of volatility and correlation are fundamental in economics and finance for understanding the impact of macroeconomics events on the market and guiding future investments and policies. Dependence across financial returns is likely to be subject to sudden structural changes, especially in correspondence with major global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. In this work, we are interested in capturing abrupt changes over time in the conditional dependence across US industry stock portfolios, over a time horizon that covers the COVID-19 pandemic. The selected stocks give a comprehensive picture of the US stock market. To this end, we develop a Bayesian multivariate stochastic volatility model based on a time-varying sequence of graphs capturing the evolution of the dependence structure. The model builds on the Gaussian graphical models and the random change points literature. In particular, we treat the number, the position of change points, and the graphs as object of posterior inference, allowing for sparsity in graph recovery and change point detection. The high dimension of the parameter space poses complex computational challenges. However, the model admits a hidden Markov model formulation. This leads to the development of an efficient computational strategy, based on a combination of sequential Monte-Carlo and Markov chain Monte-Carlo techniques. Model and computational development are widely applicable, beyond the scope of the application of interest in this work.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Archivio istituziona...arrow_drop_down
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    UCL Discovery
    Research . 2022
    Data sources: UCL Discovery
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    arXiv.org e-Print Archive
    Other literature type . Preprint . 2022
    https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
    Article . 2022
    License: CC BY NC SA
    Data sources: Datacite
    The Annals of Applied Statistics
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    Data sources: Crossref
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Archivio istituziona...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      UCL Discovery
      Research . 2022
      Data sources: UCL Discovery
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      arXiv.org e-Print Archive
      Other literature type . Preprint . 2022
      https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
      Article . 2022
      License: CC BY NC SA
      Data sources: Datacite
      The Annals of Applied Statistics
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      Data sources: Crossref
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Riaño Sánchez, Luisa Fernanda;

    ilustraciones a color, diagramas Introducción: La neumonía es una causa frecuente de hospitalización. En pacientes en condición crítica, la identificación del agente podría permitir ajustes oportunos de antibióticos. El objetivo es evaluar si la realización del panel de PCR múltiple para neumonía en pacientes con neumonía en unidades de cuidado intensivo (UCI) tiene efecto sobre la mortalidad, estancia hospitalaria global y en UCI y duración de la terapia antimicrobiana. Materiales y métodos: Se realizó un estudio de cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes adultos con neumonía que requirieron UCI en 4 hospitales de Bogotá entre noviembre 2019 y junio 2023. Se evaluó mortalidad a 30 días, estancia hospitalaria y en UCI, duración de antibióticos y su asociación con la realización del panel PCR múltiple de neumonía (Filmarray), utilizando un puntaje de propensión y asignación de pesos para ajustar por covariables y potenciales confundidores. Resultados: Se incluyeron 304 pacientes, 150 expuestos y 154 no expuestos, con una edad media de 65,0 años (DE 14,6), 206 hombres (67.8%) y con una escala de Charlson promedio de 4.5 (DE 2.8). 186 (61.2%) presentaron COVID-19 y 256 (84.2%) tuvieron neumonía adquirida en comunidad. La estancia hospitalaria fue de 20.8 (DE 17.0) días, la de UCI 12.2 (DE 10.9) días, con un promedio de antibióticos de 2.7 (DE 1.7). No se encontró asociación entre la mortalidad a 30 días y la exposición HR 1.14 (IC 95% 0.76-1.70), aunque la valoración por infectología se relaciona con menor mortalidad HR 0.29 (IC 95% 0.19-0.45). Tampoco se encontró asociación entre la duración de antimicrobianos con la exposición IRRa 1.17 (IC 95% 0.90-1.54). Discusión: El uso del panel Filmarray neumonía en pacientes adultos críticamente enfermos no se relaciona con cambios en la mortalidad ni en la duración de antibióticos. Se requiere integrar este tipo de pruebas a los programas de optimización de antimicrobianos para contribuir a la toma de decisiones más racionales. (Texto tomado de la fuente) Introduction: Pneumonia is a frequent cause of hospitalization. In critically ill patients, identification of the pathogen may allow timely adjustment of antibiotics. The aim of the study was to assess whether performing a multiplex PCR pneumonia panel in patients with pneumonia in Intensive Care Units (ICU), has any effect on mortality, overall hospital stay, ICU stay and duration of antimicrobial therapy. Materials and methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on adult patients with pneumonia who required ICU admission in four institutions in Bogotá between November 2019 and June 2023. Mortality at 30-day, length of hospital and ICU stay, and duration of antibiotics, and their association with the performance of the multiplex PCR pneumonia panel (Filmarray) were evaluated using an inverse propensity of the treatment weighting to adjust for covariates and potential confounders. Results: 304 patients were included, 150 exposed, 154 non exposed. Mean age 65,0 years (DE 14,6), 206 males (67.8%) and mean Charlson index 4.5 (SD 2.8). 186 (61.2%) patients had COVID-19 pneumonia and 256 (84.2%) community acquired pneumonia. Length of hospital stay was 20.8 days (SD 17.0), ICU stay was 12.2 days (SD 10.9), total number of antibiotics administered was 2.73 (SD 1.74). No association was found between 30-day mortality and exposition HR 1.14 (CI 95% 0.76-1.70), although the assessment by infectious diseases specialist is associated with a lower mortality HR 0.29 (CI 95% 0.19-0.45). There was no association between exposure and antimicrobial therapy duration IRRa 1.17 (CI 95% 0.90-1.54). Discussion: The use of multiplex PCR pneumonia panel Filmarray is not associated with changes in mortality or duration of antimicrobial therapy. It is necessary to integrate this type of testing into antimicrobial stewardship programs to contribute to more rational decision-making. Convocatoria Nacional para el Fortalecimiento a través del apoyo a proyectos de investigación, creación artística o innovación de la Universidad Nacional de Colombia. 2022-2024. Código Hermes 57576, QUIPÚ 202010040463. Especialidades Médicas Especialista en Infectología Estudio de cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes adultos con neumonía grave en Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos (UCI) entre noviembre de 2019 y junio de 2023 con el fin de analizar los desenlaces de mortalidad a 30 días, estancia hospitalaria y estancia en UCI y su asociación con la realización de una prueba de PCR múltiple panel de neumonía; utilizando un puntaje de propensión y asignación de pesos ajustados por covariables y potenciales confundidores para balancear las variables en la población.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Universidad Nacional...arrow_drop_down
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Universidad Nacional...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Martin Yong Kwong Lee; Kie Beng Goh; Deanna Xiuting Koh; Si Jack Chong; +1 Authors
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Telemedicine Journal...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Telemedicine Journal and e-Health
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Mary Ann Liebert TDM
    Data sources: Crossref
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Telemedicine Journal...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Telemedicine Journal and e-Health
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Mary Ann Liebert TDM
      Data sources: Crossref
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Shakshi Sharma; Rajesh Sharma; Anwitaman Datta;

    In this work, we collect a moderate-sized representative corpus of tweets (200,000 approx.) pertaining Covid-19 vaccination spanning over a period of seven months (September 2020 - March 2021). Following a Transfer Learning approach, we utilize the pre-trained Transformer-based XLNet model to classify tweets as Misleading or Non-Misleading and validate against a random subset of results manually. We build on this to study and contrast the characteristics of tweets in the corpus that are misleading in nature against non-misleading ones. This exploratory analysis enables us to design features (such as sentiments, hashtags, nouns, pronouns, etc) that can, in turn, be exploited for classifying tweets as (Non-)Misleading using various ML models in an explainable manner. Specifically, several ML models are employed for prediction, with up to 90% accuracy, and the importance of each feature is explained using SHAP Explainable AI (XAI) tool. While the thrust of this work is principally exploratory analysis in order to obtain insights on the online discourse on Covid-19 vaccination, we conclude the paper by outlining how these insights provide the foundations for a more actionable approach to mitigate misinformation. The curated dataset and code is made available (Github repository) so that the research community at large can reproduce, compare against, or build upon this work. Comment: Accepted at IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems 2022

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ arXiv.org e-Print Ar...arrow_drop_down
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    arXiv.org e-Print Archive
    Other literature type . Preprint . 2021
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    https://doi.org/10.1109/tcss.2...
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: IEEE Copyright
    Data sources: Crossref
    https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
    Article . 2021
    License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
    Data sources: Datacite
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ arXiv.org e-Print Ar...arrow_drop_down
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      arXiv.org e-Print Archive
      Other literature type . Preprint . 2021
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      https://doi.org/10.1109/tcss.2...
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      License: IEEE Copyright
      Data sources: Crossref
      https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
      Article . 2021
      License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
      Data sources: Datacite
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  • Authors: Silvia A. González; Deepti Adlakha; Santiago Cabas; Sharon C. Sánchez-Franco; +5 Authors

    The community restrictions during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic adversely impacted older adults’ physical activity levels. This convergent mixed-method study assessed the adaptation of the Recreovía, a community-based physical activity program in Bogotá, and characterized physical activity levels among older adult participants. Our results showed how the Recreovía adapted during the pandemic to continue promoting physical activity, through indoor and outdoor strategies, including virtual physical activity sessions and safety protocols. During this time, 72%–79% of the older adults attending the adapted program were physically active. A greater proportion of park users (84.2%) and more people involved in vigorous physical activity were observed during Recreovía days. Older adults had positive experiences and perceptions of the Recreovía program related to their health and social well-being. Even though the older adults prefer being outdoors, the adapted program allowed participants to continue with their physical activity routines as much as possible during the pandemic.

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  • Authors: Jose Guevara; Diego Rojas; Rana Khallaf; Gabriel Castelblanco;
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Morales Thomas, Michell; Arroyave Martínez, Nathaly; Orozco Cepeda, Jatín José; Zambrano Figueroa, Sandra;

    Partiendo con el cierre de las instituciones educativas por el aislamiento social en tiempos de pandemia, se simboliza un gran estancamiento y un aplazamiento en el desarrollo de las habilidades sociales en los jóvenes, evidenciándose en el contexto actual dificultades después de la pandemia de COVID-19, lo cual se refleja en una variación de las dinámicas en las áreas de formación, que conlleva a cambiar todo el entramado de las relaciones postpandemia de jóvenes estudiantes. En el desarrollo del ser humano, la vida universitaria viene a ser un factor considerado primordial, que ejerce influencia en el estilo de vida, el cual si no es adecuado puede afectar la salud y un buen rendimiento académico (Jiménez y Ojeda, 2017). De cara a la pandemia se generaron nuevos métodos educativos en todos los niveles, ante esto, las redes sociales jugaron un papel primordial, incidiendo con un cambio de esquema de aprendizaje que puede generar estrés y/o ansiedad. Siguiendo un paradigma empírico analítico, el objetivo principal de la investigación fue conocer de manera descriptiva las manifestaciones relacionadas con la ansiedad postpandemia en estudiantes del programa de Psicología de la Universidad Simón Bolívar de la ciudad de Barranquilla, en donde se evaluaron criterios específicos, como las expectativas y la sensibilidad postpandemia. En los resultados es relevante la búsqueda del perfeccionismo en los estudiantes, evidenciando preocupación por su futuro; sin embargo, no tienden a buscar la aprobación de sus trabajos frente la opinión de las demás personas y no se sienten inquietos al trabajar con personas destacadas. Mientras que en el manejo emocional en menor medida suelen irritarse con facilidad, y no pretenden agradar o estar atados a las demandas de aprobación que desde la familia o las evaluaciones académicas pueden enfrentar. Starting with the closure of educational institutions due to social isolation in times of pandemic, a great stagnation and postponement in the development of social skills in young people is symbolized, evident in the current context of difficulties after the COVID-19 pandemic. , which is reflected in a variation in the dynamics in the training areas, which leads to changing the entire framework of the post-pandemic relationships of young students. In the development of human beings, university life becomes a factor considered essential, which influences lifestyle, which if not adequate can affect health and good academic performance (Jiménez and Ojeda, 2017). In the face of the pandemic, new educational methods were generated at all levels. In light of this, social networks played a primary role, influencing a change in the learning scheme that can generate stress and/or anxiety. The search for perfectionism in students is relevant in the results, evidencing concern for their future; However, they do not tend to seek approval for their work in the opinion of other people and they do not feel uneasy when working with outstanding people. While in emotional management to a lesser extent they tend to get easily irritated, and do not try to please or be tied to the demands for approval that they may face from the family or academic evaluations.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Repositorio Universi...arrow_drop_down
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    Repositorio Universidad Simón Bolívar
    Bachelor thesis . 2023 . 2024
    License: CC BY NC ND
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Repositorio Universi...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Repositorio Universidad Simón Bolívar
      Bachelor thesis . 2023 . 2024
      License: CC BY NC ND
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Matt Chiu; Wang Lin Sim; Nigel Mun; Arlindo Silva;

    Abstract Design education has traditionally relied heavily on physical integration as it involves a lot of hands-on work, group critiques, and collaborative projects, but the COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally shifted the way teaching is done, which resulted in many institutions adapting to remote teaching and learning environments. This has created challenges for design educators who have had to find ways to evaluate students’ progress in the absence of in-person interactions. In this paper, we are proposing a dashboard visualization approach that helps educators monitor the progression of the entire class of students using artificial intelligence (AI) by tracking a time-based evolution of a design statement. This approach uses various natural language processing (NLP) models to produce stock-like charts, which represent students’ and student groups’ progression through a series of divergence and convergence phases. These charts become a form of design artifact that allows educator(s) to gain a bird’s-eye view of the class and react to groups that may require assistance; at the same time, it becomes a qualitative means of evaluation and comparison across students and groups. Toward the end, this paper also showcases a web-based platform that is publicly available using such methodology, a case study that applied so methodology and recommendations of future works possible.

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    Journal of Mechanical Design
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: ASME Site License Agreemen
    Data sources: Crossref
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Mechanica...arrow_drop_down
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      Journal of Mechanical Design
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Ordóñez Manrique, Sergio Alejandro;

    Las series de tiempo a menudo se ven afectadas por valores extraños o inusuales, por lo que es necesario medir la influencia del evento que no sucede con frecuencia o determinar y tener en cuenta el punto de la intervención que afecta la serie de tiempo para el correcto pronóstico de sus valores futuros y estimación de los parámetros del modelo. La pandemia del 2019-2020 por el virus del covid-19, que representó un suceso inesperado en el siglo XXI es un evento de intervención que afectó la prestación normal de los servicios de salud. Este estudio aplicó modelos de series de tiempo con intervención y análisis de series de tiempo interrumpidas para evaluar cómo la pandemia de covid-19 afectó los servicios de hospitalización. Se crearon escenarios de pronóstico para comparar la realidad observada con lo que se hubiera esperado sin la pandemia. Los resultados demuestran que la inclusión de metodologías de series de tiempo con intervenciones e interrumpidas mejora significativamente la precisión de los pronósticos, resaltando la importancia de estos métodos en la planificación eficaz del sector salud durante crisis. Time series are often affected by unusual or outlier values, making it necessary to measure the influence of infrequent events or to determine and consider the intervention point affecting the time series for accurate forecasting of future values and model parameter estimation. The 2019-2020 COVID-19 pandemic, an unexpected event in the 21st century, was an intervention event that impacted the normal provision of healthcare services. This study applied time series models with intervention and interrupted time series analysis to assess how the COVID-19 pandemic affected hospitalization services. Forecast scenarios were created to compare the observed reality with what would have been expected without the pandemic. The results demonstrate that the inclusion of time series methodologies with interventions and interruptions significantly improves the accuracy of forecasts, highlighting the importance of these methods in effective healthcare sector planning during crises. Magister en Estadística Aplicada Maestría

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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Cortés Pinzón, Lady Joana;

    La pandemia por COVID-19 en Bucaramanga ocasiono un aumento de la violencia de género entre 2020 y 2022, debido a factores individuales, sociales y culturales como la cultura machista, el alcoholismo y la influencia religiosa. Estos factores generan desigualdades históricas entre hombres y mujeres, que se expresan en dominación y discriminación. En este estudio cualitativo, se analizan los datos del Observatorio de Mujeres, la Fiscalía General de la Nación y el Diagnóstico municipal sobre los homicidios de pareja o expareja y las noticias de feminicidio desde 2015 a 2021, para determinar el perfil de las víctimas y los agresores de la violencia basada en género (VBG) en la ciudad. Los resultados muestran que más del 40% de los casos denunciados como violencia basada en género (VBG) se presentaron en mujeres adultas de entre los 29 a 59 años, seguido de un promedio del 25 % mujeres en edades de los 18 a 28 años. Los hallazgos de este estudio señalan que es necesario implementar políticas de sensibilización para prevenir la violencia contra las mujeres, crear espacios seguros e informar sobre canales de atención mediante medios de comunicación, en colaboración con defensores de derechos humanos. The COVID-19 pandemic in Bucaramanga caused an increase in gender violence between 2020 and 2022, due to individual, social and cultural factors such as machista culture, alcoholism and religious influence. These factors generate historical inequalities between men and women, which are expressed in domination and discrimination. In this qualitative study, data from the Women's Observatory, the Attorney General's Office and the Municipal Diagnosis on intimate partner or ex-partner homicides and femicide news from 2015 to 2021 are analyzed to determine the profile of victims and aggressors of gender-based violence (GBV) in the city. The results show that more than 40% of the cases reported as gender-based violence (GBV) occurred in adult women between the ages of 29 to 59, followed by an average of 25% women between the ages of 18 to 28. The findings of this study indicate that it is necessary to implement awareness-raising policies to prevent violence against women, create safe spaces and inform about channels of care through the media, in collaboration with human rights defenders. Magister en Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales Maestría

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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Franzolini, Beatrice; Beskos, Alexandros; De Iorio, Maria; Poklewski Koziell, Warrick; +1 Authors

    Reliable estimates of volatility and correlation are fundamental in economics and finance for understanding the impact of macroeconomics events on the market and guiding future investments and policies. Dependence across financial returns is likely to be subject to sudden structural changes, especially in correspondence with major global events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. In this work, we are interested in capturing abrupt changes over time in the conditional dependence across US industry stock portfolios, over a time horizon that covers the COVID-19 pandemic. The selected stocks give a comprehensive picture of the US stock market. To this end, we develop a Bayesian multivariate stochastic volatility model based on a time-varying sequence of graphs capturing the evolution of the dependence structure. The model builds on the Gaussian graphical models and the random change points literature. In particular, we treat the number, the position of change points, and the graphs as object of posterior inference, allowing for sparsity in graph recovery and change point detection. The high dimension of the parameter space poses complex computational challenges. However, the model admits a hidden Markov model formulation. This leads to the development of an efficient computational strategy, based on a combination of sequential Monte-Carlo and Markov chain Monte-Carlo techniques. Model and computational development are widely applicable, beyond the scope of the application of interest in this work.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Archivio istituziona...arrow_drop_down
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    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    UCL Discovery
    Research . 2022
    Data sources: UCL Discovery
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    arXiv.org e-Print Archive
    Other literature type . Preprint . 2022
    https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
    Article . 2022
    License: CC BY NC SA
    Data sources: Datacite
    The Annals of Applied Statistics
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    Data sources: Crossref
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      UCL Discovery
      Research . 2022
      Data sources: UCL Discovery
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      arXiv.org e-Print Archive
      Other literature type . Preprint . 2022
      https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
      Article . 2022
      License: CC BY NC SA
      Data sources: Datacite
      The Annals of Applied Statistics
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      Data sources: Crossref
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Riaño Sánchez, Luisa Fernanda;

    ilustraciones a color, diagramas Introducción: La neumonía es una causa frecuente de hospitalización. En pacientes en condición crítica, la identificación del agente podría permitir ajustes oportunos de antibióticos. El objetivo es evaluar si la realización del panel de PCR múltiple para neumonía en pacientes con neumonía en unidades de cuidado intensivo (UCI) tiene efecto sobre la mortalidad, estancia hospitalaria global y en UCI y duración de la terapia antimicrobiana. Materiales y métodos: Se realizó un estudio de cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes adultos con neumonía que requirieron UCI en 4 hospitales de Bogotá entre noviembre 2019 y junio 2023. Se evaluó mortalidad a 30 días, estancia hospitalaria y en UCI, duración de antibióticos y su asociación con la realización del panel PCR múltiple de neumonía (Filmarray), utilizando un puntaje de propensión y asignación de pesos para ajustar por covariables y potenciales confundidores. Resultados: Se incluyeron 304 pacientes, 150 expuestos y 154 no expuestos, con una edad media de 65,0 años (DE 14,6), 206 hombres (67.8%) y con una escala de Charlson promedio de 4.5 (DE 2.8). 186 (61.2%) presentaron COVID-19 y 256 (84.2%) tuvieron neumonía adquirida en comunidad. La estancia hospitalaria fue de 20.8 (DE 17.0) días, la de UCI 12.2 (DE 10.9) días, con un promedio de antibióticos de 2.7 (DE 1.7). No se encontró asociación entre la mortalidad a 30 días y la exposición HR 1.14 (IC 95% 0.76-1.70), aunque la valoración por infectología se relaciona con menor mortalidad HR 0.29 (IC 95% 0.19-0.45). Tampoco se encontró asociación entre la duración de antimicrobianos con la exposición IRRa 1.17 (IC 95% 0.90-1.54). Discusión: El uso del panel Filmarray neumonía en pacientes adultos críticamente enfermos no se relaciona con cambios en la mortalidad ni en la duración de antibióticos. Se requiere integrar este tipo de pruebas a los programas de optimización de antimicrobianos para contribuir a la toma de decisiones más racionales. (Texto tomado de la fuente) Introduction: Pneumonia is a frequent cause of hospitalization. In critically ill patients, identification of the pathogen may allow timely adjustment of antibiotics. The aim of the study was to assess whether performing a multiplex PCR pneumonia panel in patients with pneumonia in Intensive Care Units (ICU), has any effect on mortality, overall hospital stay, ICU stay and duration of antimicrobial therapy. Materials and methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on adult patients with pneumonia who required ICU admission in four institutions in Bogotá between November 2019 and June 2023. Mortality at 30-day, length of hospital and ICU stay, and duration of antibiotics, and their association with the performance of the multiplex PCR pneumonia panel (Filmarray) were evaluated using an inverse propensity of the treatment weighting to adjust for covariates and potential confounders. Results: 304 patients were included, 150 exposed, 154 non exposed. Mean age 65,0 years (DE 14,6), 206 males (67.8%) and mean Charlson index 4.5 (SD 2.8). 186 (61.2%) patients had COVID-19 pneumonia and 256 (84.2%) community acquired pneumonia. Length of hospital stay was 20.8 days (SD 17.0), ICU stay was 12.2 days (SD 10.9), total number of antibiotics administered was 2.73 (SD 1.74). No association was found between 30-day mortality and exposition HR 1.14 (CI 95% 0.76-1.70), although the assessment by infectious diseases specialist is associated with a lower mortality HR 0.29 (CI 95% 0.19-0.45). There was no association between exposure and antimicrobial therapy duration IRRa 1.17 (CI 95% 0.90-1.54). Discussion: The use of multiplex PCR pneumonia panel Filmarray is not associated with changes in mortality or duration of antimicrobial therapy. It is necessary to integrate this type of testing into antimicrobial stewardship programs to contribute to more rational decision-making. Convocatoria Nacional para el Fortalecimiento a través del apoyo a proyectos de investigación, creación artística o innovación de la Universidad Nacional de Colombia. 2022-2024. Código Hermes 57576, QUIPÚ 202010040463. Especialidades Médicas Especialista en Infectología Estudio de cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes adultos con neumonía grave en Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos (UCI) entre noviembre de 2019 y junio de 2023 con el fin de analizar los desenlaces de mortalidad a 30 días, estancia hospitalaria y estancia en UCI y su asociación con la realización de una prueba de PCR múltiple panel de neumonía; utilizando un puntaje de propensión y asignación de pesos ajustados por covariables y potenciales confundidores para balancear las variables en la población.

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    Authors: Martin Yong Kwong Lee; Kie Beng Goh; Deanna Xiuting Koh; Si Jack Chong; +1 Authors
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    Telemedicine Journal and e-Health
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Mary Ann Liebert TDM
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      Telemedicine Journal and e-Health
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Mary Ann Liebert TDM
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Shakshi Sharma; Rajesh Sharma; Anwitaman Datta;

    In this work, we collect a moderate-sized representative corpus of tweets (200,000 approx.) pertaining Covid-19 vaccination spanning over a period of seven months (September 2020 - March 2021). Following a Transfer Learning approach, we utilize the pre-trained Transformer-based XLNet model to classify tweets as Misleading or Non-Misleading and validate against a random subset of results manually. We build on this to study and contrast the characteristics of tweets in the corpus that are misleading in nature against non-misleading ones. This exploratory analysis enables us to design features (such as sentiments, hashtags, nouns, pronouns, etc) that can, in turn, be exploited for classifying tweets as (Non-)Misleading using various ML models in an explainable manner. Specifically, several ML models are employed for prediction, with up to 90% accuracy, and the importance of each feature is explained using SHAP Explainable AI (XAI) tool. While the thrust of this work is principally exploratory analysis in order to obtain insights on the online discourse on Covid-19 vaccination, we conclude the paper by outlining how these insights provide the foundations for a more actionable approach to mitigate misinformation. The curated dataset and code is made available (Github repository) so that the research community at large can reproduce, compare against, or build upon this work. Comment: Accepted at IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems 2022

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    arXiv.org e-Print Archive
    Other literature type . Preprint . 2021
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    https://doi.org/10.1109/tcss.2...
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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    https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv...
    Article . 2021
    License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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      arXiv.org e-Print Archive
      Other literature type . Preprint . 2021
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      https://doi.org/10.1109/tcss.2...
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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  • Authors: Silvia A. González; Deepti Adlakha; Santiago Cabas; Sharon C. Sánchez-Franco; +5 Authors

    The community restrictions during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic adversely impacted older adults’ physical activity levels. This convergent mixed-method study assessed the adaptation of the Recreovía, a community-based physical activity program in Bogotá, and characterized physical activity levels among older adult participants. Our results showed how the Recreovía adapted during the pandemic to continue promoting physical activity, through indoor and outdoor strategies, including virtual physical activity sessions and safety protocols. During this time, 72%–79% of the older adults attending the adapted program were physically active. A greater proportion of park users (84.2%) and more people involved in vigorous physical activity were observed during Recreovía days. Older adults had positive experiences and perceptions of the Recreovía program related to their health and social well-being. Even though the older adults prefer being outdoors, the adapted program allowed participants to continue with their physical activity routines as much as possible during the pandemic.

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  • Authors: Jose Guevara; Diego Rojas; Rana Khallaf; Gabriel Castelblanco;
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Morales Thomas, Michell; Arroyave Martínez, Nathaly; Orozco Cepeda, Jatín José; Zambrano Figueroa, Sandra;

    Partiendo con el cierre de las instituciones educativas por el aislamiento social en tiempos de pandemia, se simboliza un gran estancamiento y un aplazamiento en el desarrollo de las habilidades sociales en los jóvenes, evidenciándose en el contexto actual dificultades después de la pandemia de COVID-19, lo cual se refleja en una variación de las dinámicas en las áreas de formación, que conlleva a cambiar todo el entramado de las relaciones postpandemia de jóvenes estudiantes. En el desarrollo del ser humano, la vida universitaria viene a ser un factor considerado primordial, que ejerce influencia en el estilo de vida, el cual si no es adecuado puede afectar la salud y un buen rendimiento académico (Jiménez y Ojeda, 2017). De cara a la pandemia se generaron nuevos métodos educativos en todos los niveles, ante esto, las redes sociales jugaron un papel primordial, incidiendo con un cambio de esquema de aprendizaje que puede generar estrés y/o ansiedad. Siguiendo un paradigma empírico analítico, el objetivo principal de la investigación fue conocer de manera descriptiva las manifestaciones relacionadas con la ansiedad postpandemia en estudiantes del programa de Psicología de la Universidad Simón Bolívar de la ciudad de Barranquilla, en donde se evaluaron criterios específicos, como las expectativas y la sensibilidad postpandemia. En los resultados es relevante la búsqueda del perfeccionismo en los estudiantes, evidenciando preocupación por su futuro; sin embargo, no tienden a buscar la aprobación de sus trabajos frente la opinión de las demás personas y no se sienten inquietos al trabajar con personas destacadas. Mientras que en el manejo emocional en menor medida suelen irritarse con facilidad, y no pretenden agradar o estar atados a las demandas de aprobación que desde la familia o las evaluaciones académicas pueden enfrentar. Starting with the closure of educational institutions due to social isolation in times of pandemic, a great stagnation and postponement in the development of social skills in young people is symbolized, evident in the current context of difficulties after the COVID-19 pandemic. , which is reflected in a variation in the dynamics in the training areas, which leads to changing the entire framework of the post-pandemic relationships of young students. In the development of human beings, university life becomes a factor considered essential, which influences lifestyle, which if not adequate can affect health and good academic performance (Jiménez and Ojeda, 2017). In the face of the pandemic, new educational methods were generated at all levels. In light of this, social networks played a primary role, influencing a change in the learning scheme that can generate stress and/or anxiety. The search for perfectionism in students is relevant in the results, evidencing concern for their future; However, they do not tend to seek approval for their work in the opinion of other people and they do not feel uneasy when working with outstanding people. While in emotional management to a lesser extent they tend to get easily irritated, and do not try to please or be tied to the demands for approval that they may face from the family or academic evaluations.

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    Repositorio Universidad Simón Bolívar
    Bachelor thesis . 2023 . 2024
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      Repositorio Universidad Simón Bolívar
      Bachelor thesis . 2023 . 2024
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Matt Chiu; Wang Lin Sim; Nigel Mun; Arlindo Silva;

    Abstract Design education has traditionally relied heavily on physical integration as it involves a lot of hands-on work, group critiques, and collaborative projects, but the COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally shifted the way teaching is done, which resulted in many institutions adapting to remote teaching and learning environments. This has created challenges for design educators who have had to find ways to evaluate students’ progress in the absence of in-person interactions. In this paper, we are proposing a dashboard visualization approach that helps educators monitor the progression of the entire class of students using artificial intelligence (AI) by tracking a time-based evolution of a design statement. This approach uses various natural language processing (NLP) models to produce stock-like charts, which represent students’ and student groups’ progression through a series of divergence and convergence phases. These charts become a form of design artifact that allows educator(s) to gain a bird’s-eye view of the class and react to groups that may require assistance; at the same time, it becomes a qualitative means of evaluation and comparison across students and groups. Toward the end, this paper also showcases a web-based platform that is publicly available using such methodology, a case study that applied so methodology and recommendations of future works possible.

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    Journal of Mechanical Design
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: ASME Site License Agreemen
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      Journal of Mechanical Design
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Ordóñez Manrique, Sergio Alejandro;

    Las series de tiempo a menudo se ven afectadas por valores extraños o inusuales, por lo que es necesario medir la influencia del evento que no sucede con frecuencia o determinar y tener en cuenta el punto de la intervención que afecta la serie de tiempo para el correcto pronóstico de sus valores futuros y estimación de los parámetros del modelo. La pandemia del 2019-2020 por el virus del covid-19, que representó un suceso inesperado en el siglo XXI es un evento de intervención que afectó la prestación normal de los servicios de salud. Este estudio aplicó modelos de series de tiempo con intervención y análisis de series de tiempo interrumpidas para evaluar cómo la pandemia de covid-19 afectó los servicios de hospitalización. Se crearon escenarios de pronóstico para comparar la realidad observada con lo que se hubiera esperado sin la pandemia. Los resultados demuestran que la inclusión de metodologías de series de tiempo con intervenciones e interrumpidas mejora significativamente la precisión de los pronósticos, resaltando la importancia de estos métodos en la planificación eficaz del sector salud durante crisis. Time series are often affected by unusual or outlier values, making it necessary to measure the influence of infrequent events or to determine and consider the intervention point affecting the time series for accurate forecasting of future values and model parameter estimation. The 2019-2020 COVID-19 pandemic, an unexpected event in the 21st century, was an intervention event that impacted the normal provision of healthcare services. This study applied time series models with intervention and interrupted time series analysis to assess how the COVID-19 pandemic affected hospitalization services. Forecast scenarios were created to compare the observed reality with what would have been expected without the pandemic. The results demonstrate that the inclusion of time series methodologies with interventions and interruptions significantly improves the accuracy of forecasts, highlighting the importance of these methods in effective healthcare sector planning during crises. Magister en Estadística Aplicada Maestría

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    Authors: Cortés Pinzón, Lady Joana;

    La pandemia por COVID-19 en Bucaramanga ocasiono un aumento de la violencia de género entre 2020 y 2022, debido a factores individuales, sociales y culturales como la cultura machista, el alcoholismo y la influencia religiosa. Estos factores generan desigualdades históricas entre hombres y mujeres, que se expresan en dominación y discriminación. En este estudio cualitativo, se analizan los datos del Observatorio de Mujeres, la Fiscalía General de la Nación y el Diagnóstico municipal sobre los homicidios de pareja o expareja y las noticias de feminicidio desde 2015 a 2021, para determinar el perfil de las víctimas y los agresores de la violencia basada en género (VBG) en la ciudad. Los resultados muestran que más del 40% de los casos denunciados como violencia basada en género (VBG) se presentaron en mujeres adultas de entre los 29 a 59 años, seguido de un promedio del 25 % mujeres en edades de los 18 a 28 años. Los hallazgos de este estudio señalan que es necesario implementar políticas de sensibilización para prevenir la violencia contra las mujeres, crear espacios seguros e informar sobre canales de atención mediante medios de comunicación, en colaboración con defensores de derechos humanos. The COVID-19 pandemic in Bucaramanga caused an increase in gender violence between 2020 and 2022, due to individual, social and cultural factors such as machista culture, alcoholism and religious influence. These factors generate historical inequalities between men and women, which are expressed in domination and discrimination. In this qualitative study, data from the Women's Observatory, the Attorney General's Office and the Municipal Diagnosis on intimate partner or ex-partner homicides and femicide news from 2015 to 2021 are analyzed to determine the profile of victims and aggressors of gender-based violence (GBV) in the city. The results show that more than 40% of the cases reported as gender-based violence (GBV) occurred in adult women between the ages of 29 to 59, followed by an average of 25% women between the ages of 18 to 28. The findings of this study indicate that it is necessary to implement awareness-raising policies to prevent violence against women, create safe spaces and inform about channels of care through the media, in collaboration with human rights defenders. Magister en Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales Maestría

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