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The Second ENCORE European conference in October 2021 in Paris, France, has gathered two communities, the Risk Perception and Behaviour Survey of Surveyors (Risk-SoS) and the H2020-DRS01 Cluster on risk perception and adaptive behaviour (a grouping of several Horizon Europe – Disaster Resilient Societies projects, most notably RESILOC, BUILDERS, ENGAGE, LINKS, CORE and Risk PACC). During the Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns in 2020 and 2021 the monthly Risk-SoS webinars have been keeping the risk perception and adaptive behaviour research community together with panels on the role of theories in research on hazards adaptation, resilience and vulnerability. Topics were on risk perception and behaviour across challenges and time, across disciplines and methods, as well as panel and longitudinal approaches, and workshops on theories and methods to advance the design of a collective surveying approach with potentially common questions and answers’ scales to foster comparability. The Risk-SoS webinars have also been discussing the results of the Survey of Surveyors and sustaining the collective effort to build a harmonised approach for risk perception and adaptive behaviour assessment. In an hybrid format, the Second ENCORE conference has gathered 25 researchers and experts from 10 countries (Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom) at the Ministry of Research in Paris, France.

International audience; Before spreading globally, the Covid-19 epidemic was concentrated in the Hubei province. To contain the spread of the virus, the Chinese government has imposed quarantine measures and travel restrictions, entailing the slowdown of economic activity. We study the propagation of this geographically concentrated productivity slowdown to the global economy, through global value chains. Reliance on Chinese inputs has dramatically increased since the early 2000s. As a consequence, most countries are exposed to the Chinese productivity slowdown, both directly through their imports of Chinese inputs and indirectly, through other inputs themselves produced with some Chinese value added. This note aims at quantifying the total exposure of France compared to other countries. First, we compute the share of Chinese value added in French production. Then, we use data at the country and sector levels to quantify the impact of travel restrictions on French GDP.

Traduction non relue par les auteurs de "Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France" paru dans Science https://science.sciencemag.org/content/369/6500/208 Date de parution : 10 juillet 2020 DOI: 10.1126/science.abc3517; [ATTENTION : LA TRADUCTION DE L'ARTICLE N'A PAS ÉTÉ RELUE PAR LES AUTEURS]. La France a été fortement affectée par la pandémie du syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère coronavirus 2 (SRAS-CoV-2) et est entrée en confinement le 17 mars 2020. À l'aide de modèles appliqués aux données hospitalières et de décès, nous estimons l'impact du confinement et l'immunité actuelle de la population . Nous constatons que 2,9% des personnes infectées sont hospitalisées et 0,5% des personnes infectées décèdent (intervalle de confiance à 95%: 0,3 à 0,9%), allant de 0,001% chez les moins de 20 ans à 8,3% chez les 80 ans ou plus âgés. À tous les âges, les hommes sont plus susceptibles d'être hospitalisés, d'entrer en soins intensifs et de mourir que les femmes. Le confinement a réduit la reproductivité de 2,90 à 0,67 (réduction de 77%). D'ici le 11 mai 2020, date à laquelle les interventions devraient être assouplies, nous prévoyons que 3,5 millions de personnes (fourchette: 2,1 millions à 6,0 millions), soit 5,3% de la population (fourchette: 3,3 à 9,3%), auront été infectées. L'immunité de la population semble insuffisante pour éviter une deuxième vague si toutes les mesures de contrôle sont relâchées à la fin du confinement.